Nottingham Forest vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NTT
2 - 3
POS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BRO
2 - 2
NTT
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NTT
1 - 2
LEE
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 0
NTT
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEI
1 - 1
QPR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PLY
0 - 0
LEI
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LEI
4 - 1
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CRY
2 - 2
LEI
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
STA
0 - 1
LEI
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |