Nottingham Forest vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NTT
1 - 0
HUR
50%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NTT
2 - 3
LEI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
NTT
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NTT
0 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
HAR
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
BRE
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
HAR
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
BCF
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |