Nottingham Forest vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
NTT
5 - 1
AEK
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SOU
0 - 0
NTT
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 0
IPS
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
AEK
1 - 2
NTT
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
BRI
1 - 3
NTT
36%
29%
36%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DUK
1 - 0
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
41%
28%
32%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
QPR
1 - 1
EVE
35%
28%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
EVE
2 - 1
DUK
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
IPS
0 - 1
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |