Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 1
NTT
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
7%
17%
75%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 1
HUR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
NTT
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 1
HUL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
SHE
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
REA
2 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
DER
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
WBA
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |