Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LUT
1 - 2
NTT
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
NTT
1 - 2
HUL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
WIG
1 - 0
NTT
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BBU
1 - 1
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
MID
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 0
DER
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
DER
1 - 0
WIG
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
DER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |