Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
IPS
2 - 1
NTT
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BIR
2 - 0
NTT
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 2
QPR
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
NTT
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
DER
4 - 1
BPO
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DER
1 - 4
MUD
13%
24%
63%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
PLY
0 - 3
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
COV
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |