Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
ASV
3 - 2
NTT
41%
28%
31%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
BHA
1 - 0
NTT
28%
29%
43%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
DER
3 - 0
BHA
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1980 |
LIV
3 - 0
DER
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
COV
2 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
DER
2 - 0
LEE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
IPS
1 - 1
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |