Nottingham Forest vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1977 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 3
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
NTT
1 - 0
MIL
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
PLY
1 - 2
NTT
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
BRO
1 - 1
NTT
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
DER
0 - 0
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
COV
3 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
DER
0 - 0
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1977 |
DER
2 - 0
QPR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
WHU
2 - 2
DER
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |