Nottingham Forest vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 1
NTT
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
NTT
4 - 1
SOU
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NTT
2 - 0
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
OLD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
NTT
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 1
MKD
45%
23%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
YEO
43%
24%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 2
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |