Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
WHU
3 - 2
NTT
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
WHU
51%
28%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CAR
4 - 1
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 1
CAR
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
SHE
0 - 0
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
3 - 2
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 2
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |