Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
PLY
3 - 2
NTT
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
1 - 4
COV
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
2 - 0
SCU
66%
19%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
2 - 2
CRE
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WIG
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
STO
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
KID
1 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
IPS
3 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
PLY
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |