Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
QPR
3 - 0
NTT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
NTT
0 - 1
LUT
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
CUM
1 - 2
NTT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 0
BHA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
NTT
2 - 1
OXF
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
CUM
4 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
OXF
2 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
CAR
1 - 2
BPO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |