Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
TOT
4 - 2
NTT
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 4
BPO
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
BBU
2 - 1
NTT
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
NTT
3 - 0
WHU
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
MUD
6 - 3
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1962 |
CAR
2 - 3
WOL
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
MUD
3 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOT
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |