Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
37%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 1
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 1
EVE
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
2 - 1
WHU
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 2
NTT
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
32%
32%
36%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
NOT
3 - 0
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
CAR
1 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |