Nottingham Forest vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 1
SHE
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 1
NTT
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
3 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 1
BBU
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
SHE
0 - 2
BCF
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
BCF
1 - 4
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |