Nottingham Forest vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
REA
1 - 0
NTT
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 1
SHE
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NTT
0 - 3
PLY
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COV
2 - 0
NTT
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
QPR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 1
BHA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 0
BUR
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 1
WHU
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |