Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
NTT
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BPO
0 - 2
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
NTT
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BHA
2 - 2
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BHA
1 - 0
GIL
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 1
BHA
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BHA
1 - 5
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 0
BHA
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |