Nottingham Forest vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NTT
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
GIL
1 - 2
NTT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 1
NTT
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
NTT
0 - 4
SCU
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 2
GIL
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 0
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
BRI
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |