Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NTT
0 - 1
BPO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
IPS
1 - 1
NTT
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SHW
1 - 1
NTT
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NTT
3 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 1
MID
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
EVE
3 - 0
BBU
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BBU
3 - 1
WOL
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BBU
0 - 0
WHU
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 3
BBU
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 1
BBU
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |