Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BPO
1 - 4
NTT
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
4%
12%
85%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
3 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
4 - 0
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 0
WBA
26%
28%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SWA
0 - 0
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 2
MID
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 0
HUL
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIR
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |