Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 1
NTT
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 1
FUL
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SHW
2 - 1
NTT
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NTT
0 - 4
ARS
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NTT
1 - 2
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BIR
1 - 0
BBU
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 2
PNE
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
QPR
1 - 1
BIR
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
BIR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |