Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
WBA
2 - 1
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
NTT
1 - 0
STO
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
TOT
4 - 1
NTT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
NTT
2 - 0
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
NTT
57%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 3
LUT
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
BIR
1 - 1
WAT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
BHA
1 - 0
BIR
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
BIR
1 - 0
COV
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
WHU
5 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |