Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
3 - 1
NTT
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 0
NTT
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
SHW
0 - 1
NTT
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
BIR
0 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1959 |
UNI
2 - 4
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEE
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
BIR
3 - 4
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |