Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 0
NEW
34%
31%
34%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 0
CHL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |