Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1972 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
QPR
3 - 0
NTT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
NTT
0 - 1
LUT
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
CUM
1 - 2
NTT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 0
BHA
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
ASV
2 - 1
SWI
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASV
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
ASV
1 - 1
BHA
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
ASV
1 - 0
CUM
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1972 |
BUR
4 - 1
ASV
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |