Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 1
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
BUR
0 - 2
NTT
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
NTT
4 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
SHW
0 - 2
NTT
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
NTT
1 - 0
WHU
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 1
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
ASV
0 - 2
WHU
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
50%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1967 |
WHU
2 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |