Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BBU
1 - 1
NTT
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 0
BBU
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
NTT
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
27%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 0
BBU
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
TOT
2 - 3
ASV
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 0
TOT
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |