Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 2
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
TOT
2 - 2
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 0
BRI
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 3
NTT
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 1
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHE
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 1
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |