Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 2
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 2
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 1
SHE
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
PNE
0 - 1
NTT
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHW
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1908 |
LIV
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 3
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |