Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 1
HUR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
NTT
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 1
HUL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 4
NTT
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NTT
2 - 0
POS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 5
ARS
16%
21%
64%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
ARS
5 - 1
SUN
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 0
WHU
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |