Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
SHW
3 - 1
NTT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
WHU
1 - 2
NTT
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
NTT
5 - 1
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 1
NTT
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 3
WHU
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
WBA
1 - 3
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |