Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1962 |
BUR
0 - 0
NTT
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
NTT
1 - 1
IPS
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1962 |
NTT
1 - 0
MUD
33%
23%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
WBA
2 - 2
NTT
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1962 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
46%
22%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
4 - 5
ASV
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
CHL
2 - 3
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
BPO
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |