Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
WOL
2 - 0
NTT
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 2
BPO
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
LEI
3 - 1
NTT
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 2
MUD
24%
22%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 4
NTT
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
1 - 3
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1957 |
EVE
2 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |