Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1924 |
HUR
3 - 0
NTT
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
HUR
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
PNE
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 0
NTT
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 0
ASV
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 2
PNE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 1
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |