Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
27%
28%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BOL
4 - 0
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 3
SHE
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
SHE
3 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |