Nottingham Forest U21 vs Aston Villa U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
9º
3º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MID
0 - 1
NOT
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
NWC
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 0
WBA
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
3 - 0
DCO
91%
7%
3%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
AVI
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 2
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
MID
2 - 3
AVI
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
6 - 4
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |