Nottingen vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ULM
5 - 1
NOT
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
SVS
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
NOT
4 - 0
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FCE
0 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
VIL
4 - 0
SGS
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
4 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 1
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |