Nottingen vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
18º
4º
18
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 2
BIS
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 6
NOT
19%
18%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
3 - 2
FCZ
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
3 - 2
NOT
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
VFR
25%
24%
50%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
2 - 3
VFR
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
RAV
0 - 0
VFR
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
TSB
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |