Nottingen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
3 - 0
LUD
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 2
WEI
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
KSC
3 - 2
NOT
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
NOT
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FVL
1 - 2
ULM
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
4 - 0
LUD
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
2 - 2
ULM
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 0
KSC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LIN
2 - 3
ULM
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |