Nottingen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
STU
1 - 1
NOT
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 4
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 0
FVL
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SDO
0 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 3
BON
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
LUD
1 - 3
ULM
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ULM
3 - 2
STU
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
AJL
0 - 1
ULM
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 2
ULM
12%
21%
68%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ULM
5 - 2
SDO
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |