Nottingen vs TSV Essingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
4.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.9%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.6%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.4%
5-0
9%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
5º
16º
5º
46
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 1
NOT
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 3
RAV
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 0
NOT
57%
19%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 3
AST
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 1
SGS
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 2
TSV
91%
6%
2%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
DEN
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
MEM
9%
13%
79%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TSV
2 - 1
FCW
5%
12%
83%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | +2 |