Nottingen vs SpVgg Ludwigsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 2
WEI
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
KSC
3 - 2
NOT
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
NOT
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 1
HOF
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ULM
4 - 0
LUD
72%
16%
11%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FVL
0 - 1
LUD
35%
26%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
WEI
1 - 2
LUD
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LUD
0 - 2
KSC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIN
4 - 2
LUD
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |