Nottingen vs SpVgg Au analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
STU
2 - 0
NOT
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 0
WMI
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
NOT
0 - 0
KSC
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
NOT
1 - 5
SVS
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
BAH
3 - 0
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
STU
2 - 2
AJL
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 0
FVL
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
SDO
0 - 1
AJL
37%
27%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BON
3 - 2
AJL
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
AJL
0 - 0
FRE
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |