Nottingen vs Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SVS
1 - 3
NOT
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 3
PFO
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
NOT
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
BIS
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 2
NOT
42%
22%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
2 - 3
FRE
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
1 - 3
GOP
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SVS
5 - 1
SDO
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SDO
1 - 1
PFO
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
SDO
34%
23%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |