Nottingen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 1
NOT
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 2
RAV
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FRE
4 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
TSB
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
NOT
18%
18%
64%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SPI
0 - 1
BIS
11%
18%
72%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
REU
1 - 1
SPI
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GFR
2 - 0
SPI
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SPI
0 - 2
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RAV
2 - 0
SPI
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |