Nottingen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
NOT
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 3
ULM
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
NOT
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
VFR
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 3
KEH
46%
23%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STU
4 - 1
SPI
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
5 - 1
ILL
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +4 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AST
4 - 1
SPI
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
HOL
35%
24%
40%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |