Nottingen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 2
AST
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
KIR
0 - 1
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOT
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 2
HOF
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 0
SPI
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 3
HOF
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ASV
4 - 0
SPI
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 0
FRE
37%
24%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SPI
3 - 2
BAH
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |