Nottingen vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
5º
16º
5º
42
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
ATS
41%
20%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOP
3 - 2
NOT
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
TSB
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 3
SGS
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 1
OBE
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 0
DEN
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
OBE
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 2
PFO
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |