Nottingen vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 1
GOP
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 0
NOT
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
3 - 3
SDO
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SVS
1 - 3
NOT
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 3
PFO
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OBE
0 - 1
FRE
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SDO
0 - 4
OBE
37%
22%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OBE
4 - 4
SVS
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PFO
1 - 1
OBE
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
OBE
3 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |