Nottingen vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
4 - 1
GFR
94%
5%
2%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
NOT
5 - 0
REU
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 1
NOT
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 1
PFO
78%
13%
8%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
OBE
3 - 0
BIS
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
REU
5 - 1
OBE
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OBE
4 - 3
SPI
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
OBE
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
0 - 0
RAV
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |